Wednesday, February 05, 2020

And the count goes on; New Hampshire's next


Just a reminder that the New Hampshire primaries are set for next Tuesday, Feb. 11, and the principal point of interest will be how Democrat results there compare to those still being reported from Monday night's Iowa caucuses.

When I checked this morning, most recently just before 6 a.m., the percentage of reported Iowa results had crept upward to 71 percent from 62 percent late yesterday afternoon with no major changes noted in outcome.

Buttigieg has maintained his lead over Sanders in state delegate equivalents (SDEs) 419-394 with each assigned 10 national convention delegates. Sanders, however, has a popular vote lead somewhere in the neighborhood of a thousand. Those results could flip at any time.

In previous caucus years, an SDE majority produced a victor. This year --- one of the reasons why the reporting process is so complex --- Democrats also are reporting the popular vote, among other things, which makes it entirely possible that more than one candidate could claim, justifiably, a victory.

I'm happy because Buttigieg is doing so well statewide. The major complaint among those who prefer others seems to be lack of experience in national politics but that's not appeared to me to be an advantage that panned out in recent election cycles. Personally, I do not find Biden reassuring and the messianic element of the Sanders campaign makes me uneasy, as do many of his supporters. The latter are the ones I'd expect to flounce off and vote third party or not at all if disgruntled.

I'm proud of Buttigieg, too, for serving as a bright light of hope for LGBTQ+ kids everywhere --- achieving things not thought possible during most of my lifetime.

Hopefully, the Iowa caucuses will continue, too. They offer unparalleled opportunities for people of all political persuasions to wade in and get involved hands-on in the process, something that's important for both major political parties.

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